The NFC West features three of FPI's top 10 teams in the Rams, 49ers and Seahawks, and the 21st-ranked Cardinals aren't necessarily an easy out, either. The Broncos could muster only 35 net passing yards. Is the offensive line good enough to protect Burrow from getting hurt again? It has happened 8 times to 7 different teams. Interestingly enough, not only has no team won 3 in a row, not a single team has ever made it back to Both of those teams went on to lose in the Super Bowl. There are no arguments to be made: This is the greatest Super Bowl of all-time. Putting that unbelievable anecdote aside, the 49ers stumbled into the Super Bowl against the Cincinnati Bengals, and Montana did what Montana seemingly always did. Let's start in the 1980s, with a team led by Hall of Famers like Joe Montana, Jerry Rice and Steve Young For a franchise that was so consistently dominant in the 1980s, the 1988 version of the San Francisco 49ers sure seems mediocre. They're returning the 2020 MVP and had the league's most efficient offense last year -- yes, even better than Kansas City's. 113 career TDs compared to 129 interceptions says that he doesn't deserve that victory. Tennessee's offense is going to have to do most of the work in order to repeat at AFC South champions. Poor Bengal fans will never watch a 49ers game with a smile (unless they're losing). Buffalo also went 6-1 in one-score games, including the playoff win over the Colts. Throw in Trent Dilfer leading the other offense and a game that was never competitive, and this is easily the worst Super Bowl of all-time. For a team with quarterback uncertainty, it could be much worse. What will the Buffalo Bills do without defensive coordinator Leslie Frazier? Yes, they have the best QB, a fleet of skill players and a fantastic coach, but history is not on their side. And that's embodied by an extreme result: The NFC East is the only division that recorded a simulation with a five-win champion. An 11-win season leaning on the talent of John Elway and the defense's ability to hold teams to under three touchdowns. Washington led 24-3 at one point. And we'll start with the Chiefs: More: The worst of the Bills Super Bowl teams at 115, but Jim Kelly and Thurman Thomas still elevated them offensively. Complete team-by-team FPI projections The Falcons still have Matt Ryan at quarterback, who has thrown for the most passing yards in the league over the last three years and has a emerging star in Calvin Ridley and a game-changing tight end in rookie first-rounderKyle Pitts. Tom Brady led the offense with Randy Moss and Wes Welker to score 36.8 points per game. That they have to play each other twice and are vying for the same divisional crown are limiting factors when it comes to win total and a chance to earn the coveted top seed in the AFC. They had an outstanding defense, and thats what won them the So much needs to go right for the Broncos to get into the playoffs, much less the Super Bowl. 2) The AFC North is a filthy, disgusting mosh pit whence nobody comes out alive. 29 and 30. Peyton Manning dragged him and the rest of the team there. Keep in mind, those numbers assume there is some chance Wentz plays in each of these games, particularly the later ones. With that criteria in mind, weve ranked every Super Bowl ever played from worst to first. Tannehill is second in the league in passer rating (110.6), second in touchdown percentage (7.2) and first in yards per attempt (8.55). (Hey, at least it worked out for them with Trevor Lawrence being available.). On footballs biggest stage we want games featuring memorable teams, star players, plays that well never forget and compelling storylines. Jacksonville was the worst team in the league last year, but the Jaguars were competitive in half of their games (seven of their losses were by one score). One of the bigger mismatches in Super Bowl history, this one gets bonus points for being the first one and the Chiefs actually keeping things interesting for 30 minutes after going into the half trailing by only four points. Buffalo actually led going into halftime before being outscored 21-0 in the second half. Oh, if they only handed the ball off the Marshawn Lynch. So, which teams have won it all, but look inferior to their championship brethren in retrospect? That doesn't even sound like a real record, let alone a division winner. Odell Beckham makes a highly anticipated return to a passing game that includes Jarvis Landry and an emerging Rashard Higgins and Donovan Peoples-Jones. Everyone's mind goes to Rex Grossman, but people forget this overall team was more than their quarterback. I did not mean to rhyme there. Top 5 in both points for and against, the Vikings 10-win record kept them from being higher on this list. San Francisco 49ers +1400 (bet $10 to win $150 total), Tricky to put San Francisco here given the uncertainty at QB, but theres no way they actually start 21-year-old Trey Lance, right?. The 1991 Redskins might be the greatest team in NFL history, which bumps this game up a few spots. Instead, Baltimore is here due to how poorly it played in its Super Bowl win. Had Rodgers simply decided to retire rather than suit up, Green Bay's chances to make the playoffs would have dropped from 70% to 24%, and their Super Bowl chances would have dropped from 6% to 0.2%. It did earn him a bunch of money. There are quite a few contenders to win their first Super Bowl in 2021, and the two favorites reside in the loaded AFC. They play in an easy division and should be able to host a playoff game. But even with all that, its not even the best Super Bowl of the last two years. WebWell looking at it from a "in comparison to the rest of the league that year" perspective, as far as defenses that allowed the most points, these rank as the 3 worst defenses to win a Super Bowl: 2011 Giants were the 25th ranked defense 2006 Colts were the 23rd ranked defense 2009 Saints were the 20th ranked defense As Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers went back and forth to win the title, Super Bowl LIV is the 13th-best Super Bowl on our list. Defense wins championshipsor at least they should. The only team in the division with a positive FPI rating -- making it above average -- is the Dallas Cowboys, who are just barely there at +0.7 (meaning they would be favored over an average NFL team by less than a point). Love the defense, which is good enough to vault Washington to the playoffs again. That's ridiculous. The Chiefs rank No. And they should open 2-0, meaning their odds will get even shorter., Too much turnover on the offensive line for my liking, though, as 37-year old Aaron Rodgers will open the season with three new starters., 7. Those numbers are buoyed by two factors: FPI projects them to have the best defense in the league. He also has the most game-winning drives and tied for the most fourth-quarter comebacks in that span. The Bills ended up with the most wins in a season (13) since 1991. The Cardinals defense significantly improved with the addition of J.J. Watt and the return of Chandler Jones on the pass rush. Los Angeles was a heavy underdog but actually took a lead into the fourth quarter. Before arriving at FOX, he created the website The Big Lead, which he sold in 2010. Dick Vermeil's boys just missed out on the Lombardi Trophy with one bad day. Use of this website (including any and all parts and components) constitutes your acceptance of these, place your futures bets on who is going to win, Every NFL team's 2021 win totals, ranked from worst to best bet. This was the year that Joe Montana and Steve Young alternated starts at quarterback until eventually Montana firmly took the reins down the stretch. Here is a quarterback guru who never could quite develop a quarterback as a head coach. A very good defense led by Andre Tippett and Steve Nelson. They played in plenty of close games, and Steve McNair and Eddie George were superb. Seriously, the Vikings are never allowed to make another Super Bowl. The Jets just didn't look all that good on their way to the mountaintop. Allowed 173 yards per game on the ground lmao this1dude88 Chiefs 4 yr. ago That defense became dominant Well, they play in a division that produced three playoff teams last year. Reeling off 11 straight road wins was impressive, and so was beating the top two seeded teams in the NFC en route to the title game (Green Bay Packers and Dallas Cowboys). Check out the full strength of schedule rankings here. Forget about Super Bowl history, this was one of the best games in the history of American sports. It all makes for a nice story, but the fact remains that the Giants were not a superb team. Although they have one less win, there stats still propel them ahead of the '86 team. Bettis got his ring before retirement andthe Steelersgreatly overachieved in the process. Carolina Panthers +7000 (bet $10 to win $710 total), The Panthers were a fantastic 8-4 against the spread as an underdog last year, and theyre going to be underdogs frequently again this year. We have all heard this "Cinderella story" one too many times, but it's worth going over for the purposes of this piece. This post originally ran in January 2018. That being said, wait until they lose the opener to Tampa, and then get them at possibly better odds. This may not be the worst championship team of all time, but these Steelers werebarely ataste ofthe greatness that wasto come in the following years. The game was a blowout but did give us one of the most iconic moments in Super Bowl history: Don Beebe chasing down a prematurely celebrating Leon Lett. The Panthers and Patriots gave us the most exciting fourth quarter in Super Bowl history, combining for five scores, including an 85-yard pass by Jake Delhomme, which remains a Super Bowl record, and Adam Vinatieris game-winning kick as time expired. Sure, it was a massive upset and Joe Namaths guarantee adds to the lore, but the game itself was a bore. Going 7-2 in one-score games last year will regress. In a season without a normal offseason due to the pandemic, the 142 defending champs looked like easy Super Bowl favorites. Please check your email for a confirmation. Stroud showed love to Justin Fields when explaining why he doesn't the Bears to draft him: 'That's his team', The Red Sox found a loophole in the MLB shift ban and it stinks for Joey Gallo, Survivor 44: Meet the castaways who will compete for $1 million in Fiji, Mets fans hilariously embraced basketball tactics to confuse players on the pitch clock, The Warriors left Russell Westbrook ridiculously wide open and it worked to perfection, Watch: Man tries feeding bison near Yellowstone; it doesnt go well, 2023 NFL Combine Winners Day 1: Blazing-fast DTs give the Bears plenty to consider, Ranking all 32 NFL teams' helmet logos, from worst to best, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. This defense really let the team down in the biggest game, but they were phenomenal and a top defense throughout the season. Slightly. Ah, the iconic image of Trent Dilfer hoisting his arms in victory. Arizona Cardinals +4000 (bet $10 to win $410 total), Yes, they got older with J.J. Watt and A.J. Allen set the Bills' franchise record for passing yards in a season (4,544) and passing touchdowns (37), finishing with a 107.2 passer rating. If not for the dramatic ending, this game may have finished last on this list. Terrell Davis three-touchdown game won him MVP honors. A 4.47 shuttle is extremely rare. The least memorable of the Giants four Super Bowl wins also happened to be their most dominant. They had a four-game losing streak, two in overtime, they were actually really good on both offense and defense. If you look at the teams in this stratosphere, theres a lot of continuity at the coordinator positions and, obviously, head coach and QB. They had an unimpressive 115 record, but the 2002 Raiders were a well-balanced, finely tuned machine. At 133, this New England Patriots offense was extraordinary, but their defense was lacking and kept them out of the top 20. Head coach Kliff Kingsbury has to commit to running the ball besides using Murray on designed carries, or else Arizona will experience the same second-half swoon as last year. Peyton Manning winning his second ring bumps this one up a few spots. A four-game stretch bridging October and November vs Bills, vs Chiefs, at Colts, at Rams should seal their fate. 6. Joe Namath may have guaranteed a Super Bowl III win over the Baltimore Colts, but he didn't say anything about being the best team of all time. Although the Rams are FPI's top team of the bunch, San Francisco is actually the favorite here. This team is just two years removed from the AFC Championship Game and is in position to "win now." An 115 team that didn't exceed in anything, but had John Elway. And we dont even know who their QB is (probably Teddy Bridgewater over Drew Lock).. ONCE. It's all about the schedule. With a 131 record, this Oakland Raiders team would be higher, but not as good as some of the other late '60s losing teams. Matt Ryan was an MVP and led the best offense, but the defense surrendered 25.4 points per game. Meanwhile, the Cardinals, Rams and Seahawks all rank in the top half of the most difficult schedules. This was the first of the Cowboys three Super Bowl wins in the 90s. At 10-4-1, this Broncos team was better balanced than the '86 team. All rights reserved. We cant put a Super Bowl featuring Rex Grossman too high on the list, but Peyton Manning winning his first ring salvages this one. Theres a reason teams from the NFC North are so low here, and its the schedule. FIFA World Cup - Best Goals from Every Angle, Draw for the FIFA Women's World Cup Australia & New Zealand 2023, C.J. After power was restored, the 49ers turned what looked to be another big game blowout into a nail-biter that Baltimore won thanks to a goal line stand and some questionable San Francisco play-calling. Trent Dilfer. 2023 NFL Draft odds: Will Georgia's Stetson Bennett get selected? A fullback even if it was Hall of Famer Larry Csonka winning MVP tells you just how entertaining this one was. But hey, they did something right, they were in the Super Bowl. 14. First place on this list scored 140 points in my grading system. Obsessed with travel? A 142 record with the seventh best defense in points scored against in the league. This might be controversial among Bills fans, but this team was just as good as the year before. I much prefer the Eagles to maybe sneak into the playoffs, as their only road game this season against a playoff team from last year is at Washington on Jan. 2. The game was expected to be a blowout Green Bay was favored by 13.5 points and it was. If Baker Mayfield improves from last season's campaign, the Browns will contend for a Super Bowl in 2021. The teams combined for 11 turnovers. FPI considers Houston more than a touchdown worse than an average NFL team on a neutral field and believes the Texans simultaneously have the worst offense and worst defense in the league. US residents can opt out of "sales" of personal data. ODonnell set Larry Browns family up for life with his dreadful performance. They had a top 5 offense and defense. New York didnt want Buffalos explosive offense on the field, so it grinded out the clock on the ground and ended up winning the time of possession battle by about 20 minutes. The universe wont let the Vikings back in the Super Bowl because all of the ones they made in the 70s ended up being unwatchable. 1 pick, Ex-Patriots star McGinest facing eight years in prison, Commanders rip 'blatantly false' team sale report, Last Super Bowl appearance: 2016 (Super Bowl 50), Last Super Bowl appearance: 2017 (Super Bowl LI), Last Super Bowl appearance: 1990 (Super Bowl XXIII), Last Super Bowl appearance: 1995 (Super Bowl XXIX), Last Super Bowl appearance: 1977 (Super Bowl XI), Last Super Bowl appearance: 2009 (Super Bowl XLIII), Last Super Bowl appearance: 2000 (Super Bowl XXXIV), Last Super Bowl appearance: 1994 (Super Bowl XXVIII). New head coach Arthur Smith has some work to do this summer. Four NFL teams the Browns, Lions, Jaguars, and Texans have never appeared in the Super Bowl. Green Bay looked as if it would blow the Steelers out but Ben Roethlisberger led a rally that cut the lead from 18 to three before Mason Crosby put the game away with a field goal. 4. With the best defense in the game, this 124 Steelers team could not stop a hot road team in the Green Bay Packers and Aaron Rodgers. In the playoffs, Indianapolis Colts kicker Mike Vanderjagt had to have a meltdown of epic proportions to send the Steelers to the Conference Championship and cover up for Bettis' fumble earlier in the contest. Shaun Alexander had 1,880 rushing yards and 27 touchdowns.Shaun Alexander had 1,880 rushing yards and 27 touchdowns! Take note: This isn't technically a ranking of the teams from very worst to very best, although the worse teams tend to be toward the bottom and the better teams toward the top. Miamis three points is still the fewest points scored in a Super Bowl. This isn't just about winning the closely contested division, though. 11 in the league, per FPI) isn't a problem with that kind of strength on the other side of the ball. This Super Bowl gave us a bunch of memorable performances. This 11-5Oakland Raiders teamfinished second in the AFC West in an era when there were only three divisions.
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